Next week, two significant systems are expected to produce the lowest temperatures of the season. In the Caribbean, PTC Nineteen was established.
Although it doesn’t extend further, the most recent NHC track indicates that it is heading west into the Yucatán. The majority of significant models and ensembles currently send it toward the eastern Gulf of Mexico, maybe into Florida, but they’re probably waiting for more direction. This might be important for November historically. The western Gulf states are not in danger.
The next two mornings will be chilly! Get the fireplace blazing or turn on those heaters!
With a Pacific air mass behind the front, the first storm system is expected to arrive the following week. This implies that the Arctic front later this week will bring colder air.
The severe potential is modest at this moment, despite the dynamics supporting more organized and intense storms, which suggests limited instability. We’ll let you know if anything changes.
Late in the week, a stronger front with a blast of colder air will finally arrive, and Thursday and Friday mornings may be extremely chilly. With more reliable model guidance, we’ll have to wait and see if our first area-wide freeze is implemented next week.
We may experience temperatures close to freezing for the first time this season after the more potent northerly cold front passes through late next week. From a historical perspective, this is near to our typical first freeze date.
7-Day Forecast: Two fronts, rain, and storms next week, along with chilly mornings and gradual warming.